Glossary
Quick reference for all metrics and terms used across Polyanna.
- PnL (Profit and Loss)Learn more →
- Total gains minus losses from all prediction market positions, including mark-to-market value of open positions at current mid-prices. Displayed in USD. Positive values indicate net profit; negative values indicate net loss.
- Win RateLearn more →
- Percentage of resolved positions that ended in profit. A win rate above 50% means the trader profits on more positions than they lose, though it does not account for the magnitude of wins vs. losses.
- ROI (Return on Investment)Learn more →
- PnL divided by total capital deployed (sum of all buy order costs). Expressed as a percentage. An ROI of +10% means the trader earned 10 cents for every dollar invested.
- Max DrawdownLearn more →
- The largest peak-to-trough decline in a trader's cumulative PnL curve. Represents the worst losing streak in dollar terms. A smaller max drawdown indicates more consistent performance.
- Bot ProbabilityLearn more →
- Estimated likelihood (0–100%) that a wallet is operated by an automated trading bot, based on heuristic analysis of trading frequency, timing patterns, order size consistency, and market participation breadth.
- Market SignalsLearn more →
- A signal-level measure of trader performance relative to the profiled baseline universe. It combines official Polymarket context with inferred keywords and short phrases to show where a trader tends to outperform or underperform.
- Market Signal ConfidenceLearn more →
- A sample-size indicator attached to Market Signals rows. Higher confidence means the trader has enough qualifying history in that signal for the result to be more informative.
- No Public Profile
- This trader hasn't claimed a username on Polymarket. They can only be identified by their wallet address. Many active traders — especially bots — never set up a public profile, so this badge simply indicates the absence of a user-chosen display name, not any issue with the account.
- Max Session BuyLearn more →
- The largest single taker-side buy session for a trader. Sessions are 1-hour windows grouped by market and direction. A $50K session means the trader bought $50K of outcome tokens in a single market within one hour.
- InvestedLearn more →
- Total dollars spent buying positions. This is the cost basis used in the ROI leaderboard to show how much capital a trader put to work.
- ReturnLearn more →
- Invested capital plus PnL (including mark-to-market). In the ROI leaderboard, this shows the dollars that came back relative to the trader's cost basis.
- Buy Ratio
- Fraction of a trader's total USD volume that consists of buys (total bought / USD volume). A high buy ratio indicates a taker who primarily enters positions rather than providing liquidity as a market maker.
- High Volume Market Ratio
- Fraction of a trader's volume that occurs in markets in the top 10% by volume (90th percentile). A high ratio means the trader focuses on liquid, high-volume markets that are easier to enter and exit — important for copy-trading.
- Copyable FreshnessLearn more →
- The recency badge shown on Copyable leaderboard rows. It classifies a trader as 7d active, 30d active, 90d active, or Stale based on recent meaningful buy-side activity. Copyable still uses all-time quality filters, but freshness adjusts ranking so inactive accounts do not crowd out traders who are still active now.
- USD Volume
- Total USD value of all filled orders (buys and sells combined). Raw on-chain amounts are converted from USDC units (divided by 10⁶). Represents actual cash flow rather than contract count.
- Trades
- Total number of filled orders across all markets. Each fill event (buy or sell execution) counts as one trade.
- Markets
- Number of distinct prediction markets in which the trader has at least one filled order. Higher market count indicates broader diversification.
- Total Traders
- Count of unique wallet addresses with at least one indexed filled order in the current dataset.
- Orders Filled
- Total number of on-chain fill events indexed across the current dataset.
- Estimated BotsLearn more →
- Number of wallets classified as likely bots by our heuristic detection system in the current dataset.
- Markets Tracked
- Total number of prediction markets with at least one indexed trade in the current dataset.
- Trade AlertLearn more →
- A real-time notification sent when a watchlisted trader executes a trade on Polymarket. Delivered via Telegram, email, or webhook within roughly 60 seconds of the on-chain fill event. Pro feature.
- Batch AlertLearn more →
- A summary notification sent when a watchlisted trader makes 5 or more trades in a short window. Instead of individual alerts, you receive one message with total trades, USD volume, net direction, and markets involved.
- Daily DigestLearn more →
- A once-a-day email summarizing all trade alerts from the past 24 hours, grouped by trader. Sent at a user-configured hour (UTC).
- Data Cutoff
- Timestamp of the most recent on-chain fill event included in the current dataset. A green dot means the data was updated today; a yellow dot means the latest data is from a previous day.